Categories: Breaking News

Explained: Generative AI’s environmental impact

<p><img src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;news&period;mit&period;edu&sol;sites&sol;default&sol;files&sol;images&sol;202501&sol;MIT-AI-Climate-01&period;jpg"><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p><em>In a two-part series&comma; <&sol;em>MIT News<em> explores the environmental implications of generative AI&period; In this article&comma; we look at why this technology is so resource-intensive&period; A second piece will investigate what experts are doing to reduce genAI’s carbon footprint and other impacts&period;<&sol;em><&sol;p><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js&quest;client&equals;ca-pub-5730108346191534" &NewLine; crossorigin&equals;"anonymous"><&sol;script>&NewLine;<p>The excitement surrounding potential benefits of <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;news&period;mit&period;edu&sol;2023&sol;explained-generative-ai-1109" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">generative AI<&sol;a>&comma; from improving worker productivity to advancing scientific research&comma; is hard to ignore&period; While the explosive growth of this new technology has enabled rapid deployment of powerful models in many industries&comma; the environmental consequences of this generative AI &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;gold rush” remain difficult to pin down&comma; let alone mitigate&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The computational power required to train generative AI models that often have billions of parameters&comma; such as OpenAI’s GPT-4&comma; can demand a staggering amount of electricity&comma; which leads to increased carbon dioxide emissions and pressures on the electric grid&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Furthermore&comma; deploying these models in real-world applications&comma; enabling millions to use generative AI in their daily lives&comma; and then fine-tuning the models to improve their performance draws large amounts of energy long after a model has been developed&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Beyond electricity demands&comma; a great deal of water is needed to cool the hardware used for training&comma; deploying&comma; and fine-tuning generative AI models&comma; which can strain municipal water supplies and disrupt local ecosystems&period; The increasing number of generative AI applications has also spurred demand for high-performance computing hardware&comma; adding indirect environmental impacts from its manufacture and transport&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;When we think about the environmental impact of generative AI&comma; it is not just the electricity you consume when you plug the computer in&period; There are much broader consequences that go out to a system level and persist based on actions that we take&comma;” says Elsa A&period; Olivetti&comma; professor in the Department of Materials Science and Engineering and the lead of the Decarbonization Mission of MIT’s new <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;climateproject&period;mit&period;edu&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">Climate Project<&sol;a>&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Olivetti is senior author of a 2024 paper&comma; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;<a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;mit-genai&period;pubpub&period;org&sol;pub&sol;8ulgrckc&sol;release&sol;2" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">The Climate and Sustainability Implications of Generative AI<&sol;a>&comma;” co-authored by MIT colleagues in response to an Institute-wide call for papers that explore the transformative potential of generative AI&comma; in both positive and negative directions for society&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Demanding data centers<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The electricity demands of data centers are one major factor contributing to the environmental impacts of generative AI&comma; since data centers are used to train and run the deep learning models behind popular tools like ChatGPT and DALL-E&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>A data center is a temperature-controlled building that houses computing infrastructure&comma; such as servers&comma; data storage drives&comma; and network equipment&period; For instance&comma; Amazon has more than <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;aws&period;amazon&period;com&sol;about-aws&sol;global-infrastructure&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">100 data centers worldwide<&sol;a>&comma; each of which has about 50&comma;000 servers that the company uses to support cloud computing services&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While data centers have been around since the 1940s &lpar;the first was built at the University of Pennsylvania in 1945 to support the <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;seas&period;upenn&period;edu&sol;about&sol;history-heritage&sol;eniac&sol;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">first general-purpose digital computer<&sol;a>&comma; the ENIAC&rpar;&comma; the rise of generative AI has dramatically increased the pace of data center construction&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;What is different about generative AI is the power density it requires&period; Fundamentally&comma; it is just computing&comma; but a generative AI training cluster might consume seven or eight times more energy than a typical computing workload&comma;” says Noman Bashir&comma; lead author of the impact paper&comma; who is a Computing and Climate Impact Fellow at MIT Climate and Sustainability Consortium &lpar;MCSC&rpar; and a postdoc in the Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory &lpar;CSAIL&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Scientists have estimated that the power requirements of data centers in North America increased from 2&comma;688 megawatts at the end of 2022 to 5&comma;341 megawatts at the end of 2023&comma; partly driven by the demands of generative AI&period; Globally&comma; the electricity consumption of data centers rose to 460 terawatt-hours in 2022&period; This would have made data centers the 11th largest electricity consumer in the world&comma; between the nations of Saudi Arabia &lpar;371 terawatt-hours&rpar; and France &lpar;463 terawatt-hours&rpar;&comma; according to the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>By 2026&comma; the electricity consumption of data centers is expected to approach 1&comma;050 terawatt-hours &lpar;which would bump data centers up to fifth place on the global list&comma; between Japan and Russia&rpar;&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While not all data center computation involves generative AI&comma; the technology has been a major driver of increasing energy demands&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The demand for new data centers cannot be met in a sustainable way&period; The pace at which companies are building new data centers means the bulk of the electricity to power them must come from fossil fuel-based power plants&comma;” says Bashir&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The power needed to train and deploy a model like OpenAI’s GPT-3 is difficult to ascertain&period; In a 2021 research paper&comma; scientists from Google and the University of California at Berkeley estimated the training process alone consumed 1&comma;287 megawatt hours of electricity &lpar;enough to power about 120 average U&period;S&period; homes for a year&rpar;&comma; generating about 552 tons of carbon dioxide&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While all machine-learning models must be trained&comma; one issue unique to generative AI is the rapid fluctuations in energy use that occur over different phases of the training process&comma; Bashir explains&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Power grid operators must have a way to absorb those fluctuations to protect the grid&comma; and they usually employ <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;www&period;nrg&period;com&sol;insights&sol;energy-education&sol;generation&period;html&num;&colon;~&colon;text&equals;Peaking&percnt;20power&comma;-When&percnt;20demand&percnt;20increases&amp&semi;text&equals;Most&percnt;20often&percnt;20these&percnt;20peaks&percnt;20occur&comma;basis&percnt;20to&percnt;20ensure&percnt;20system&percnt;20reliability&period;" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">diesel-based generators<&sol;a> for that task&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Increasing impacts from inference<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Once a generative AI model is trained&comma; the energy demands don’t disappear&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Each time a model is used&comma; perhaps by an individual asking ChatGPT to summarize an email&comma; the computing hardware that performs those operations consumes energy&period; Researchers have estimated that a ChatGPT query consumes about five times more electricity than a simple web search&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;But an everyday user doesn’t think too much about that&comma;” says Bashir&period; &OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;The ease-of-use of generative AI interfaces and the lack of information about the environmental impacts of my actions means that&comma; as a user&comma; I don’t have much incentive to cut back on my use of generative AI&period;”<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>With traditional AI&comma; the energy usage is split fairly evenly between data processing&comma; model training&comma; and inference&comma; which is the process of using a trained model to make predictions on new data&period; However&comma; Bashir expects the electricity demands of generative AI inference to eventually dominate since these models are becoming ubiquitous in so many applications&comma; and the electricity needed for inference will increase as future versions of the models become larger and more complex&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Plus&comma; generative AI models have an especially short shelf-life&comma; driven by rising demand for new AI applications&period; Companies release new models every few weeks&comma; so the energy used to train prior versions goes to waste&comma; Bashir adds&period; New models often consume more energy for training&comma; since they usually have more parameters than their predecessors&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While electricity demands of data centers may be getting the most attention in research literature&comma; the amount of water consumed by these facilities has environmental impacts&comma; as well&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Chilled water is used to cool a data center by absorbing heat from computing equipment&period; It has been estimated that&comma; for each kilowatt hour of energy a data center consumes&comma; it would need two liters of water for cooling&comma; says Bashir&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;Just because this is called &OpenCurlyQuote;cloud computing’ doesn’t mean the hardware lives in the cloud&period; Data centers are present in our physical world&comma; and because of their water usage they have direct and indirect implications for biodiversity&comma;” he says&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The computing hardware inside data centers brings its own&comma; less direct environmental impacts&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>While it is difficult to estimate how much power is needed to manufacture a GPU&comma; a type of powerful processor that can handle intensive generative AI workloads&comma; it would be more than what is needed to produce a simpler CPU because the fabrication process is more complex&period; A GPU’s carbon footprint is compounded by the emissions related to material and product transport&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>There are also environmental implications of obtaining the raw materials used to fabricate GPUs&comma; which can involve dirty mining procedures and the use of toxic chemicals for processing&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>Market research firm TechInsights estimates that the three major producers &lpar;NVIDIA&comma; AMD&comma; and Intel&rpar; shipped 3&period;85 million GPUs to data centers in 2023&comma; up from about 2&period;67 million in 2022&period; That number is expected to have increased by an even greater percentage in 2024&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>The industry is on an unsustainable path&comma; but there are ways to encourage responsible development of generative AI that supports environmental objectives&comma; Bashir says&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>He&comma; Olivetti&comma; and their MIT colleagues argue that this will require a comprehensive consideration of all the environmental and societal costs of generative AI&comma; as well as a detailed assessment of the value in its perceived benefits&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p>&OpenCurlyDoubleQuote;We need a more contextual way of systematically and comprehensively understanding the implications of new developments in this space&period; Due to the speed at which there have been improvements&comma; we haven’t had a chance to catch up with our abilities to measure and understand the tradeoffs&comma;” Olivetti says&period;<&sol;p>&NewLine;<p> <a href&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;news&period;mit&period;edu&sol;2025&sol;explained-generative-ai-environmental-impact-0117" target&equals;"&lowbar;blank">Source<&sol;a><&sol;p>&NewLine;<p class&equals;"wpsai&lowbar;spacing&lowbar;before&lowbar;adsense"><&sol;p><script async src&equals;"https&colon;&sol;&sol;pagead2&period;googlesyndication&period;com&sol;pagead&sol;js&sol;adsbygoogle&period;js&quest;client&equals;ca-pub-5730108346191534" &NewLine; 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